2Y SMA Multiplier

A valuation tool using the 2-year simple moving average (SMA) and its multiples.

Overview
The 2-Year SMA Multiplier identifies price bands that historically capture major accumulation and distribution zones.
The 2× and 5× bands act as long-term resistance markers, while the base SMA often serves as cycle support.

Formula

S M A 2 Y = 1 730 i = 1 730 P r i c e i SMA_{2Y} = \frac{1}{730}\sum_{i=1}^{730} Price_i
U p p e r B a n d = S M A 2 Y × 5 UpperBand = SMA_{2Y} \times 5

Interpretation

  • Price near upper band → cycle top likelihood.

  • Price near lower band → macro accumulation zone.

Insights
Historically consistent across all major Bitcoin market cycles since 2013.

Available Metric