Pi Cycle Highs and Lows
A moving average-based model designed to identify cycle tops and bottoms.
Overview
The Pi Cycle model compares two key moving averages — the 111-day MA and the 350-day MA × 2 — to detect moments of extreme overvaluation or undervaluation.
Historically, this model has accurately signaled cycle tops within a few days of major Bitcoin peaks.
Interpretation
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When MA111 crosses above MA350×2, a potential cycle top is forming.
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When MA111 crosses below MA350×2, a cycle bottom may emerge.
Formula
Signal
Crossovers between these MAs have historically aligned with tops in 2013, 2017, and 2021.
Insights
Serves as one of the most respected on-chain time-based valuation models, particularly useful for macro-cycle analysis.
Available Metric