Seasonality

Measures average monthly performance patterns across all Bitcoin cycles.

Overview
Seasonality analysis reveals how specific months historically perform, showing repeating profit/loss tendencies driven by liquidity cycles, miner behaviour, and macro events.

Formula

M o n t h l y R e t u r n = P r i c e e n d _ m o n t h P r i c e s t a r t _ m o n t h P r i c e s t a r t _ m o n t h MonthlyReturn = \frac{Price_{end\_month} - Price_{start\_month}}{Price_{start\_month}}
Y e a r l y R e t u r n = P r i c e e n d _ y e a r P r i c e s t a r t _ y e a r P r i c e s t a r t _ y e a r YearlyReturn = \frac{Price_{end\_year} - Price_{start\_year}}{Price_{start\_year}}

Interpretation

  • April and October historically bullish.

  • September often negative.

Insights
Helps optimise timing strategies based on cyclical seasonality patterns.

Available Metric